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Future Readiness Indicator orgami visual ID Future Readiness Indicator orgami visual ID Future Readiness Indicator orgami visual ID
Our Research Methodology

A project by IMD’s Center for Future Readiness

Our Research Methodology

A project by IMD’s Center for Future Readiness

At our team at the IMD business school, we’ve been tracking how likely a firm is to successfully move toward a new knowledge discipline in its effort to prepare for the future. We introduced the Future Readiness Indicator to measure how prepared for a changing future companies are sector by sector. Currently we covered the Future Readiness Indicator for six industries: Automotive, Consumer Packaged Goods, Fashion, Finance, Pharmaceutical, and Technology. We have included the top key players by revenues in each industry. The ranking is based on seven main factors*: (1) financial fundamentals, (2) investors’ expectations of future growth, (3) business diversity, (4) employee diversity/ESG, (5) research and development, (6) early results of innovation efforts, and (7) cash and debt. These seven main factors, which carry the same weight in the overall result, comprise 45* variables.

All of our variables are hard data; that is, they are publicly available on company websites, annual reports, press releases, news stories, and special reports on topics such as corporate social responsibility. For press counts data, we consulted Factiva, a global news database that covers various premium sources, and counted the number of press releases on each trending topic previously identified in this industry for the past three years (e.g., 2020Q4-2023Q3). The data was also supplemented by third-party data sources from CrunchBase, which specializes in the topic of corporate ventures, Espacenet, which specializes in patent search, Morningstar Sustainalytics, a leading independent ESG rating company, and Google trends.

To calculate the Indicator, first, we collected historical data for each company. Then we performed calculations for each variable (e.g., 3Y CAGR) before we standardized the criteria data. Next, we aggregated variables to the main factors and then determined the overall ranking. For the purpose of comparison, we ranked each company from 1 (best) to n (worst, n=sample size) on a scale of 1 to 100.

In the spirit of openness that’ll encourage research collaboration, you can find out more about our variables for industries like automotive, consumer packaged goods, financial services, fashion, as well as technology below.

Please contact us if you would like to learn more about our methodology.

* Factors are subject to change by industry, thus the number of variables may vary across industries.
** Data treated differently according to the nature of business (e.g., bank vs. payment company)   

Automotive
Financial fundamentals
  • Operating revenue (cagr)
  • Profit rate (EBITDA)
  • Operating revenue per employee
  • Recent earning trend
Investors’ expectations of future growth
  • P/S ratio
  • Price to Book Value
  • Market Capitalization (cagr)
  • Enterprise value /EBITDA
Business diversity
  • Press count on “ventures”
  • Number of acquisitions
  • Number of investments
  • % of international sales
Employee diversity/ESG
  • % of women employees
  • % of women in Top management team
  • CEO demography
  • Headquarter competitiveness
  • ESG risk score
Research and development
  • R&D intensity
  • R&D intensity (cagr)
  • R&D expenses
  • R&D expenses (cagr)
  • Number of patents
Early results of innovation
  • Press count on “autonomous vehicles”
  • Press count on “EVs”
  • Press count on “connected cars”
  • Press count on “sharing mobility”
Cash and debt
  • Quick ratio
  • Cash to total assets
  • Total debt-to-equity
  • Net operating cash flow trend
  • Operating cash flow / revenue
  • Free cash flow / revenue
  • Free cash flow trend
Consumer Packaged Goods
Financial fundamentals
  • Operating revenue (cagr)
  • Operating revenue per employee
  • Profit rate (EBITDA)
  • Recent earning trend
Investors’ expectations of future growth
  • Enterprise value / EBITDA
  • Market Capitalization (cagr)
  • P/S ratio
  • Price to Book Value
Business diversity
  • % of international sales
  • Goodwill
  • Number of acquisitions
  • Number of investments
  • Press count on “Ventures”
Employee diversity/ESG
  • % of women employees
  • % of women in Top management team
  • CEO demography
  • ESG risk score
  • Headquarter competitiveness
Research and development
  • Number of patents
  • R&D expenses
  • R&D expenses (cagr)
  • R&D intensity
  • R&D intensity (cagr)
Early results of innovation
  • Press count on “Customer engagement”
  • Press count on “Digital”
  • Press count on “Innovation”
  • Press count on “Sustainability”
Cash and debt
  • Cash to total assets
  • Free cash flow / revenue
  • Free cash flow trend
  • Net operating cash flow trend
  • Operating cash flow / revenue
  • Quick ratio
  • Total debt-to-equity
Fashion
Financial fundamentals
  • Operating revenue (cagr)
  • Profit rate
  • Earning trend
  • Operating revenue per employee
  • Inventory turnover
  • Return on assets
Investors’ expectations of future growth
  • P/E ratio
  • P/S ratio
  • Market capitalization (cagr)
  • Enterprise value /EBITDA
  • Price to forward ESP
  • PEG ratio
  • Short-term revenue growth
  • Short-term EPS growth
Employee diversity/ESG
  • % of women in Top management team
  • % of women managers
  • ESG risk score
  • CEO demography
  • Headquarters competitiveness
Business diversity
  • International sales
  • Brand diversification
  • Category diversification
Early results of innovation
  • Press count on “sustainability”
  • Press count on “omnichannel/digital”
  • Press count on “consumer centric”
  • Press count on “collaborations”
  • APP rating in US Apple store
  • App rating in Play store
Brand value
  • Brand value
  • Google trends
  • YoY Google trends
  • Instagram index
  • Youtube index
  • Facebook index
  • TikTok index
Cash and debt
  • Quick ratio
  • Cash to total assets
  • Total debt to equity
  • Net operating cash flow trend
  • Operating cash flow / revenue
  • Free cash flow trend
  • Free cash flow / revenue
  • Investment to asset ratio
  • Long-term debt to revenue ratio
  • Long-term debt growth
  • Cash and equivalent growth
Finance
Financial fundamentals
  • Operating revenue (cagr)
  • Profit rate (EBITDA)
  • Recent earning trend
  • AUM cagr**
  • Operating revenue per employee**
  • Return on asset**
Investors’ expectations of future growth
  • P/E ratio**
  • P/S ratio**
  • Price-to-book value**
  • Market capitalization (cagr)**
  • EV/EBITDA**
Employee diversity/ESG
  • % of women in Top management team
  • % of women managers
  • CEO demography
  • Headquarters competitiveness
  • ESG risk score
Early results of innovation
  • Press count on “blockchain”**
  • Press count on “mobile services”**
  • Press count on “AI”**
  • Press count on “cyber-security”**
Business Diversity
  • International sales
  • Number of investments
  • Number of acquisitions
  • Number of patents
Cash and debt
  • Cash to total assets
  • Total debt to equity
  • Operating cash flow / revenue
  • CET 1 ratio**
  • Operating cash flow trend
  • Operating expense ratio
Pharmaceutical
Financial fundamentals
  • Operating revenue (cagr)
  • Profit rate
  • Operating revenue per employee
  • Earning trend
  • Inventory turnover
  • Return on assets
Investors’ expectations of future growth
  • P/E ratio
  • P/S ratio
  • Price to booking value
  • Market capitalization (cagr)
  • Enterprise value /EBITDA
  • Short-term revenue growth
  • Short-term EPS growth
Business diversity
  • Press count on “corporate venturing”
  • International sales
  • Number of acquisitions
  • Number of investments
Employee diversity/ESG
  • % of women in Top management team
  • % of women managers
  • ESG risk score
  • CEO demography
  • Headquarters competitiveness
Research and development
  • R&D intensity
  • R&D intensity (cagr)
  • R&D expenses
  • R&D expenses (cagr)
  • Number of patents
  • SG&A / R&D ratio
Early results of innovation
  • Press count on “Digital therapeutics”
  • Press count on “Personalized therapy”
  • Press count on “Real-world data”
Cash and debt
  • Quick ratio
  • Free cash flow
  • Free cash flow trend
  • Free cash flow / revenue
  • Cash to total assets
  • Total debt to equity
  • Net operating cash flow trend
  • Investment to asset ratio
  • Cash and equivalent growth
  • Long-term debt to revenue ratio
  • Long-term debt growth
Pharma Pipeline
  • Number of registration
  • Number of Phase1/Phase2/Phase3
  • Number of therapeutic areas
Technology
Financial fundamentals
  • Operating revenue (cagr)
  • Profit rate
  • Operating revenue per employee
  • Earning trend
  • Return on assets
Investors’ expectations of future growth
  • P/E ratio
  • P/S ratio
  • Market capitalization (cagr)
  • Enterprise value /EBITDA
  • Price to forward EPS
  • PEG ratio
  • Short-term revenue growth
  • Short-term EPS growth
Business diversity
  • Press count on “corporate venturing”
  • Number of acquisitions
  • Number of investments
  • % of international sales
  • % of revenue from non-core business
Employee diversity/ESG
  • % of women in Top management team
  • % of women managers
  • ESG risk score
  • CEO demography
  • Headquarters competitiveness
Research and development
  • R&D intensity
  • R&D intensity (cagr)
  • R&D expenses
  • R&D expenses (cagr)
  • Number of patents
Early results of innovation
  • Press count “AI”
  • Press count on “cloud services”
  • Press count on “SaaS”
  • Press count on “data privacy”
  • Press count on “API”
  • Press count on “cybersecurity”
  • Press count on “IoT”
Cash and debt
  • Quick ratio
  • Free cash flow
  • Free cash flow trend
  • Free cash flow / revenue
  • Cash to total assets
  • Total debt to equity
  • Net operating cash flow trend
  • Operating cash flow / revenue
  • Investment to asset ratio
  • Cash and equivalent growth
  • Long-term debt to revenue ratio
  • Long-term debt growth